Tampilkan postingan dengan label aud. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label aud. Tampilkan semua postingan

Senin, 16 Mei 2016

GBP AUD se pregateste de long - forex trading software android

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GBP AUD se pregateste de long ~ forex trading software android


Lira sterlina versus dolarul australian a testat zona de suport a canalului de pret descendent si a intrat intr-un raliu in care a spart nivelul de rezistenta dinamica a unghiului 1x1 descendent din box-ul nostru de 45 de zile. In acest moment pretul s-a lovit de nivelul de rezistenta istorica si cel mai probabil va intra in miscare descendenta scurta pentru a testa drept suport dinamic unghiul 1x1 ascendent. Cel mai probabil aceasta testare se va finaliza pe rezistenta de 50% timp a box-ului nostru Gann. Asteptam finalizarea acestei corectii pentru a initia o pozitie long GBP/AUD cu target pe nivelul de rezistenta dinamica a unghiului 8x1.

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Senin, 02 Mei 2016

Swing Trader - forex trading hours new york

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Swing Trader ~ forex trading hours new york


Swing trader measures an ideal holding period for many participants as 3 days, the the preferred time frame is 4H.
Depending on the currency pair, the profit potential per trade for swing traders can range from 50 pips to 150 pips or more.
Swing traders tend to be a bit more conservative than scalpers or day traders; they typically wait for several confi rmation signals before triggering a trade.
The tools preferred that uses a swing trader are: Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracements, and
trendline channels to all chart views. For example, when both daily and weekly Bollinger Bands converge at a single breakout number, odds increase that price will reverse
right at that level.
At the same time, swing traders are not bothered by intraday volatility and price swings because they are more concerned with catching the medium-term trends. Profit targets and stop-loss levels are naturally larger for swing traders because they have a slightly longer-term view than day traders.
Since trades usually have larger targets, spreads won ’t have as much of an impact to overall profi ts for swing traders. As a result, trading pairs with larger spreads and lower liquidity is acceptable.
Swing trading offers these top three advantages:
1. Favorable risk to reward. Swing traders normally are not concerned with intraday movements of the market because they have a slightly longer time horizon in watching the markets.
As their time horizon is longer than that of day traders, swing traders normally set favorable risk to reward ratios of 1:2, 1:3, or more.
If the stop loss is set at 50 pips, the profi t target is normally 100 pips, 150 pips, or more.
2. Save time. Swing traders are mostly technical traders, which means they do not have to spend time every day to keep abreast of fi nancial news.
This is not to say that news is not important, but due to the swing trader’s trading style of exiting positions in two to fi ve days, daily news events don ’t matter much. This is one of the biggest draws of swing trading and makes the method perfect for new traders or part-time traders who have full-time jobs.
3. Hassle-free. Many traders feel the need to meddle with ongoing trades or to trigger unnecessary ones. This normally happens when traders trade several times a day. As swing traders depend on a trading plan to trigger long and short positions, they do not fall into this trap. In fact, swing traders thrive on following a structured plan. Following a plan keeps human error to a minimum and enables swing traders to avoid emotional trading.
Swing Trader Rules
Medium-Term Range Trade
Rules
1. Use daily charts.
2. There are two ways to range trade in the medium term: position for up-
coming range trading opportunities or get involved in existing ranges:
Upcoming range opportunities: Look for high-volatility environments,
where short-term implied volatilities are significantly higher than
longer-termvolatilities;seekreversionbacktothemeanenvironments.
Existing ranges: Use Bollinger bands to identify existing ranges.
3. Look for reversals in oscillators such as RSI and stochastics.
4. Make sure ADX is below 25 and ideally falling.
5. Look for medium-term risk reversals near choice.
6. Confirm with price action—failure at key range resistances and
bounces on key range supports (using traditional technical indicators).
Indicators Options, Bollinger bands, stochastics, MACD, RSI, Fibonacci retracement levels.

Medium-Term Trend Trade
Rules
1. Look for developing trend on daily charts and use weekly charts for confirmation.
2. Refer back to the characteristics of a trending environment—look for those parameters to be met.
3. Buy breakout/retracement scenarios on key Fibonacci levels or moving averages.
4. Look for no major resistance levels in front of trade.
5. Look for candlestick pattern confirmation.
6. Look for moving average confluence to be on same side of trade.
7. Enter on a break of significant high or low.
8. The ideal is to wait for volatilities to contract before getting in.
9. Look for fundamentals to also be supportive of trade—growth and interest rates. You want to see a string of economic surprises or disappointments, depending on directional bias.
Indicators ADX, parabolic stop and reversal (SAR), RSI, Ichimoku clouds (a Japanese formation), Elliott waves, Fibonacci.

Medium-Term Breakout Trade
Rules
1. Use daily charts.
2. Look for contraction in short-term volatility to a point where it is sharply below long-term volatility.
3. Use pivot points to determine whether a break is a true break or a false break.
4. Look for moving average confluences to be supportive of trade.
Indicators Bollinger bands, moving averages, Fibonacci.
Swing Trader
Swing Trader

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Sabtu, 16 April 2016

WMA Trading System - forex trading hours south africa

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WMA Trading System ~ forex trading hours south africa



WMA trading system what technical indicators do you need?
• 1 hour (or 30Mins) candlesticks/bar charts. (If you use 30 Min chart, you might see more
whipsaws than using 1 hour chart).
• 18 EMA & 28 EMA (put them in red color in the chart).
• 5 WMA (put it in blue color in the chart) & 8 WMA (put it in yellow color in the chart).
These are standard, common indicators and are included in every charting program. You can use any charting software program you like: E-signal, MetaStock, TradeStation, MetaTrader 4, Ninjatrader, Visual Trader,Metatrader 5. I will explain how to get these technical indicators to appear in the chart later.
• The 18 EMA & 28 EMA are two red lines which form a tunnel, these will help you to determine the start of a trend and the end of a trend. => This is used for Long term
• The WMA & 8 WMA will show you when to enter a trend, they will also help you to see the strength of the trends.  This is used for Short term
2. Entry Signals
You should only open a position, when the red tunnel (formed by 18 & 28 EMA) is extremely narrow or crossed !
LONG: Open a long position when 5 WMA & 8 WMA cross the red tunnel upwards. If the 5 WMA also crosses the 8 WMA upwards, then the signal is extra strong.
SHORT: Open short position when 5 WMA & 8 WMA cross the red tunnel downwards.
If the 5 WMA also crosses the 8 WMA downwards, then the signal is extra strong.
3. Exit Signals
Signals that show the end of the chosen trend:
LONG: Close your existing long position when The price has reached a top and 5 WMA dives
under 8 WMA
SHORT: Close your existing short position when The price has reached a bottom and 5 WMA
jumps above 8 WMA
4. Stop Loss:
Use a 10-15 pip stop loss (for manual trading). Always use a stop loss to secure your account.
(However in the tradingEA software I purposely set the stop loss to 45 because the software works
better with that setting. It is too long to explain in detail why but that the way it is).
5. Recommended Currency Pairs:
The best pair is EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, NZD/USD.
The system is rather short, simple and down to the point. Yet it is very profitable if you implement it right. If you can do manual trading, it would be the best because you can have control on everything. However if you don’t have trading experience or don’t have time to monitor the market, you can use the software coming along with this manual, it can automatically trade for you.
Always close your position when boundary’s of the red tunnel cross each other or when they become so narrow that they merge into one! This is a clear sign of a trend reversal. After you see this, close your position and open a new position in the other way (For example, If you opened a long position and now you see that sign of trend reversal, close that long position, open a short position.)
When in a trade and the 5 WMA & 8 WMA cross the red tunnel -> Pay attention! As long as the red tunnel boundary’s doesn’t cross each other there is no problem( but often this is a sign that they will!) In this case, just keep the position, don’t close or open a new trade.
WMA Trading System
Point 1: First, focus on the entry short at point 1. You can see at this point, the red tunnel is very
narrow and actually the 2 red EMAs cross each other here.
Things to notice here are: the red tunnel is heading downward and the 5 WMA(blue) & 8WMA
(yellow) cross the red tunnel downwards. This signal is very strong because the 5 WMA also
crosses the 8 WMA downwards. The bearish signal here is very clear. So we enter a short order.
Point 2: Here, you can see the tunnel is narrow and the EMAs cross again. We open an order
which is the opposite of the previous order. At point 1, we already opened a short order, now we
need to close that order, and open a new opposite order, which is a long order right at point 2.
(Another way to confirm we need to close the short order right here, is that the 5 WMA jumps
above 8 WMA).
The long signal is even stronger here because 5 WMA & 8 WMA cross the red tunnel upwards.
Point 3: The EMAs cross again, so we know we need to close the existing order and open an
opposite order. We close long and open short order here. You also can notice that 5 WMA dives
under 8 WMA. It is time to exit the long order.
We apply the same rules at Point 4, 5, 6, 7 and have the long/short orders correspondingly.
In this example, we apply the same rules as in example 1.
Just one thing I want to emphasize: there is one point of attention here.
At that point, the tunnel is quite narrow, but there is no tunnel cross, so we don’t need to close the
existing order, just continue ride the trend.
In this example, I want to emphasize about the importance of placing StopLoss order. You must place Stop Loss all the time. At point 1, it seems we need to open a short order (as of the rules of the system), however due to some good political news released at that time, the price continued going up. We can get burned if we don’t place StopLoss. Using Stop Loss properly, we only lose a little meanwhile following the system we can make tremendous profit.
Here is the end for manual trading guide! If you want to know how to use the software to trade, continue reading! If you are confident in yourself, go ahead and practice this system until you master it. You will soon realize how easy and how profitable it is.
The system is rather short, simple and down to the point. Yet it is very profitable if you implement
it right. If you can do manual trading, it would be the best because you can have control on
everything. Always close your position when boundary’s of the red tunnel cross each other or when they become so narrow that they merge into one! This is a clear sign of a trend reversal. After you
see this, close your position and open a new position in the other way (For example, If you opened
a long position and now you see that sign of trend reversal, close that long position, open a short
position.)
When in a trade and the 5 WMA & 8 WMA cross the red tunnel - Pay attention! As long as the
red tunnel boundary’s doesn’t cross each other there is no problem( but often this is a sign that
they will!) . In this case, just keep the position, don’t close or open a new trade

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Rabu, 13 April 2016

Position Trader - forex market hours monitor software

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Position Trader ~ forex market hours monitor software


The position tradert is playing fundamental direction and is seeking very large moves of 150 to 300 pips. This trader doesn’t want to sit and watch the screen but play the longer moves and forces behind forex. This requires trading daily, and even weekly charts and setting with risk control to target a 3-to-1 ratio of pip profits over losses.
Position traders are usually sophisticated investors with two distinct characteristics: Their astute reading of the fi nancial markets makes them totally unconcerned with the short-term or even the medium-term move- ments of the currency market, and they own a large trading account. This
size is necessary because capital is needed to withstand large floating losses should trades go against the trader for an extended period of time.
Position trading offers these top three advantages:
Lower transaction costs. Brokers charge a spread for every position executed in the forex market. Thus, scalpers incur the highest costs by virtue of their trading frequency. Position traders are on the opposite end of the pole.
One disadvantage is psychological. Set-and-forget trades are slow and take a long time to complete. In contrast, an advantage is that all it takes is three out of seven wins to be profitable.

The trader wants to enter on the side of the predominant trend, put on the trade with proper limits and targets. Channel and patterns fit this style.
Position Trader
Position Trader


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Senin, 11 April 2016

Principal components of a trading system - forex market hours malaysia

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Principal components of a trading system ~ forex market hours malaysia


All trading system have three major components:
1. Entry and exit (filter optional).
2. Risk management.
3. Position sizing.
Trading strategy overview
Entries and exits are the engine or driver of trading in a strategy. They can be very simple or extremely complex. They can be filtered by one or many different elements. An entry can be at a specific price level or at the market or on the open or close. A trading strategy can employ more than one entry or exit. It can use one method to enter a trade and an entirely unrelated method to exit. The variety of entries and exits is really without bounds. A strategy typically consists of buy-and-sell conditions that mirror, or are the opposite of, each other. For example, a buy signal occurs when price rises through a three-day high and a sell signal occurs when price breaks through a three-day low. This is an example of what is called a symmetrical trading strategy.
A strategy can also consist of completely different buy-and-sell entry conditions. For example, abuysignal occurswhenafive-day high is broken and asell signal occurs whenafive day moving average falls below a 20-day moving average. This is an example of an asymmetrical trading strategy.
A trading strategy may include risk management in the form of a stoploss order. Risk management is a way to limit the amount of capital at risk during the life of a trade. A typical risk management approach is to set a stop-loss order that is the maximum, yet subject to slippage, loss to be taken on a trade. For example, assume that a long position is initiated at a price of 1,495.00 in S&P futures. The strategy calls for a maximum risk of $1,000 or 4.00 points. Therefore, after the position is entered, a protective sell stop is also entered. If our risk is $1,000, or 4.00 points, then our sell
stop will be 1,491.00 (1,495.00 – 4.00).
A trading strategycan also include profit management. This is a method of protecting the open equity profit that must develop during the life of a winning (and sometime losing) trade. A typical profit management approach for a long position is to set a trailing stop at a fixed dollar amount
below an equity high, that is, the highest price achieved during the trade.
Assume a strategy that calls for a trailing stop of $2,000, or 8.00 S&P points. This point value will trail under progressively higher prices during our long position. Assume that the long position is entered at a price of 1,390.00 and an equity high point of 1,410.00 is reached on the fourth day of the position. A sell stop is entered at 1,402.00 (1,410.00 – 8.00 points). This locks in
a $3,000 profit, subject to slippage (1,402.00 – 1,390.00).
Another type of profit management is the target order. This is a more proactive or aggressive way of capturing trading profits. A typical approach to the target order is to place a price order at a price above or below the position price. Assume a strategy that employs a $2,000, or 8.00 points,
profit target. A long S&P position is taken at 1,375.00. A price order is then entered to sell at 1,383.00 (1,375.00 + 8.00 points). If the market rallies to this price, our sell order will capture a profit of $2,000.
Trading system as entry and exit
A trade is composed
of at least one buy and one sell. A trade begins by entering, that is, taking a position in, the market either by going long (buy) or going short (sell) and ends with an equal and opposite offsetting or liquidating trade that closes the trade out. For example, a long trade starts when the trader buys ten
contracts of S&P index futures and ends when he sells ten contracts of the same future. A short trade takes the opposite course.
A trading strategy with a positive expectancy enters the market on a condition(s) that has proven itself capable of identifying an opportunity to make a trading profit. Such a trading strategy will exit the market when there is nothing left to be gained in the current trade.
theperfect entryisonethatalwaysoccurs
atthebest price(thelowestbuyandhighestsell)andproducesaprofit.The perfect exit extracts the last dollar of profit from a trade. Of course, any trader knows this is a perfect ideal and impossible to attain in practice. It is valuable, however, to hold this concept in mind as a guiding principle when designing a trading strategy. Let us now get into some details, definitions, and examples.
Definition: An entry rule initiates a new long or short position. An entry can occur only when the system has no current position, or is flat. Some examples of buy, or long, entry rules (sell, or short, entry rules are the opposite) are:
A 5-day moving average crosses from below to above a 20-day moving
average;
The Relative Strength Index closes below a reading of 20;
The daily close rises by 1 percent and the weekly close rises by 1 percent;
Today’s close is higher than yesterday’s close plus 50 percent of the daily range;
Today’s close is higher than the previous three closes
Definition: An exit rule closes out a current long or short position. An exit can occur only when a strategy has an open long or short po-sition. A symmetrical trading strategy exits its trades on an opposite entry signal. An example of an exit from a symmetrical moving average trading
strategy that uses opposite entries is:
Close out, or exit from, a long position when the 5-day moving average crosses from above to below the 20-day moving average. A trading strategy can be reversing or non reversing.
Definition: A reversal rule closes out a position and initiates a new and opposite position.
Of course, a reversal can occur only when there is a position. A reversal is an exit of the current position and the entry into a new and opposite position. The current position is exited and enters a new and opposite position. An example of a reversal rule is to close out the current long position
and go short when the 5-day moving average crosses from above to below
the 20-day moving average.
A trading strategy that reverses position on every new entry will, of course, always have a position in the market. Of course, a trading system can have rules that make it reverse only under specific conditions. Under other conditions, it will use the new signal to exit the position.

A trading strategycan also be non reversing. In other words, it uses an opposite entry, or some other rule, to exit the position. Such a strategy will then wait for some other rule signal to initiate a new position. A non reversing rule is simply an entry or some other rule used as an exit rule as defined earlier.
trading system
trading system

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Jumat, 08 April 2016

AUD USD se pregătește de long - forex trading software charts

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AUD USD se pregătește de long ~ forex trading software charts


Perechea AUD/USD (graficul de 4h) ne sugereaz? un scenariu de tranzac?ionare extrem de interesant. Dup? ce a realizat un Head &Shoulders r?sturnat, Aud/Usd revine s? retesteze linia gâtului ?i foarte probabil, din aceast? zona ar putea s? înceap? o ampl? mi?care ascendent?. Don perspectiva valurilor Elliott aceast? zon? ar putea s- constituie finalizarea unui val corectiv (4). Consider?m c? AUD/USD trebuie urm?rit cu aten?ie în continuare pentru o posibil? intrare long pe zona de ofert? cu linia proximal? la 0.7167 ?i linia distal? la 0.7137.

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Jumat, 25 Maret 2016

Indecision Candlestick Pattern dragonfly doji - forex market hours sunday

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Indecision Candlestick Pattern dragonfly doji ~ forex market hours sunday


Dragonfly doji
The candlestick pattern dragonfly doji is a formation that is not frequently, but when it happens it often presages a turnaround in prices as it shows that prices dipped but then recovered to opening levels.
Dragonfly doji has the open, high and close are equal and the low creates a long lower shadow. We have that Dragonfly is a candlestick looks like a "T" with a long lower shadow and no upper shadow. Dragon fly fly doji shows that sellers control trading and drive prices lower during the session.
But, by the end of the session, buyerss are able to overturn the prices high to the level of the opening.
Why we consider dragonfly as a pattern of indecision in the market?
Because pattern dragonfly doji depends on previous price action and future confirmation of the forecast.. The long lower shadow indicates a buying pressure, but the low shows that many sellers still crontrol the market. After a downtrend, long black candlestick or at support, a dragonfly doji could indicate a potential bullish reversal or bottom. After a uptrend, long white candlestick or at resistance, the long lower shadow could foreshadow a potential bearish reversal or top. Bearish or bullish confirmation is required for both conditions.
We agree with the interpretation that dragonfly doji is a indecision pattern. 


Dragonfly Doji Candlestick Pattern Quiz

1.What is the structure of a Dragonfly doji pattern??
  • The open, low and close equal and the high creates a long upper shadow
  • The open, low and close equal and the high creates a short upper shadow
  • The open, high and close are equal and the low creates a long lower shadow
2. Why Dragonfly is a pattern of indecision in the market?
  • Because buyers are more that sellers
  • It provides an indication that do not depends on the future price action for confirmation
  • Because it provides an indication that depends on the future price action for confirmation
3 When it appears to Dragonfly doji What should a trader?
  • Sell at the opening of the next candle
  • Wait
  • Buy at the opening of the next candle
Score =

Correct answers:

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Rabu, 23 Maret 2016

The managemet of the risk - forex market hours monitor

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The managemet of the risk ~ forex market hours monitor


The second principal component of a trading strategy is the management of trading  risk. Many isolate and identify many different forms of risk. To some extent, these different categorizations of risk can prove helpful when designing ways to manage them.
The New Oxford American Dictionary defines that aspect of risk of interest to us as “The possibility of financial loss.” Trading risk is defined as “The possibility of financial loss from the activity of trading or investing.”
This does sum it up rather well.No matter how many ways one chooses to view, define, and label risk, it is central to the understanding of trading risk to know that it is result of exposure to loss from any open trading position. Put more simply, if you have a position in a market, you are at
risk of losing money. Of course, you can make money in trading only by taking positions in the market.
One might say that this is the central dilemma of trading. To profit from trading, we must incur risk. As they say, “Nothing ventured, nothing gained.” However, and this is the bottom line, without the successful management of risk, there will come a day when we will no longer be able to
trade because of the cataclysmic trading losses that have come from our unmanaged risk.
The essence of good risk management is to risk as little trading capital as necessary so as to maximize profit. This is easy to say. Doing this well, however, is one of the most difficult aspects of trading strategy design.
Risk can be broken down into three broad categories: trade risk, strat- egy risk, and portfolio risk.
The definition of trade risk is: “The possibility of financial loss from an individual market position.”
The definition of strategy risk is: “The possibility of financial loss from the use of a trading strategy.”
The definition of portfolio risk is: “The possibility of financial loss at the portfolio level (potentially multistrategy, multiple time frame and mul- timarket) from the sum total of all trading therein.”
Let us examine each of these forms of risk in more detail.
the management of trading risk


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Long GBP AUD - forex trading platform android

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Long GBP AUD ~ forex trading platform android


Lira sterlina versus dolarul australian a gasit suport pe unghiul 1x1 ]n zona suportului fix de 50% a box-ului nostru de 45 de zile. Dupa testarea suportului dinamic 1x1 pretul a intrat in raliu accelerat . Dupa cum putem vedea in graficul de 4h de mai sus, perechea a realizat o structura corectiva si consideram ca exista un grad foarte ridicat de probabilitate ca perechea sa isi continue miscarea ascendenta spre nivelul de rezistenta dinamica a unghiului 2x1 aflat in confluenta cu nivelul de rezistenta fixa de la 25% a box-ului. Am introdus o pozitie long cu un prim target la 2.0750 si un al doilea target la 2.1000 sub nivelul de rezistenta dinamica a unghiului 8x1.

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